- Working Papers
In the Land of AKM: Explaining the Dynamics of Wage Inequality in France, with Damien Babet and Olivier Godechot
2nd Round R&R at Journal of Labor Economics
Abstract: We use a newly constructed and quasi-exhaustive matched employer-employee database to study the contribution of firms to wage inequality in France. We implement a simple and tractable correction for the limited mobility bias. Our analysis, covering the period 2002-2019, reveals an increase in between-firm inequality, mainly due to the growing clustering of workers with similar market value. These phenomena are associated with increasing occupational specialization at the firm level. Our results highlight the importance of bias-corrected AKM estimates in capturing the dynamics of wage inequality, and show how both observable job types and unobservable individual characteristics contribute to these patterns.
Narrowing Industry Wage Premiums and the Decline in the Gender Wage Gap, with Alexandra Roulet and Mark Stabile
Conditionally accepted at Labour Economics
Abstract: The gender gap in firm wage premiums is well documented, but evidence on its evolution over time and its contribution to declining gender wage gaps remains mixed. Using comprehensive employer-employee data from France, we find that 20\% of the reduction in the gender hourly wage gap between 2002 and 2019 can be attributed to a decline in the between-firm component of the gender gap in firm wage premiums. However, our analysis shows that this reduction is not driven by improvements in women's relative position in the firm wage premium ladder. We find no evidence that, conditional on workers' skills, women have become more likely to move into higher-paying firms or industries, or that newer cohorts of women are better represented in these segments. Instead, the narrowing is primarily driven by broader changes in the distribution of firm wage premiums, specifically through a compression of industry-specific premium differentials. These findings highlight how structural changes in the economy can affect gender wage gaps even in the absence of changes in women's relative labor market position.
Firms create temporary jobs for different reasons: to screen candidates for permanent positions; to cope with seasonal and short-term swings in activity; to increase flexibility in the use of the workforce. We use data on the universe of temporary jobs in Italy between 2013 and 2017 to identify and characterize the firms that engage in these different strategies. Screening is not a primary driver of temporary employment: the conversion rate of fixed-term employment relationships -- 20\% on average -- is strongly predicted by unobserved firms factors and strongly positively correlated with the stated duration of the first contract, a choice that the firm makes before observing the surplus of the match. Seasonality in activity involves a limited (below 20\%) but well-identifiable share of jobs and firms. On the other hand, the use of fixed-term contracts as a buffer to meet flexibility needs is more difficult to characterize: while some firms resort to temporary employment because their revenues are highly volatile, others simply discharge part of their normal business risk onto workers. This may lead to excessive worker turnover. These results have important policy implications for the design and regulation of fixed-term employment contracts.
Dignity by Decree? The Employment and Wage Effects of Restricting Fixed-Term Contracts, with Matteo Sartori and Giuseppe Grasso
Access to Italian Social Security data through VisitINPS Scholars Program
We examine the impact of Italy's 2018 reform tightening legislation on temporary contracts. Analyzing employment and wage dynamics, we find moderate disemployment effects and a significant shift in workforce composition. Exposed firms experienced a substantial reduction in the share of days worked in fixed-term contracts, offset by an increase in permanent employment, primarily through the conversion of existing temporary contracts. Notably, we document a sizeable decline in the starting wages for workers transitioning from fixed-term to permanent contracts compared to pre-reform levels. Our results suggest the existence of some degree of market power on the part of firms, with increased security for the workers being partly compensated by lower wages.
The Unequal Impact of Firms on the Relative Pay of Women Across Countries, with Antoine Bertheau, Alexander Hijzen, Astrid Kunze and the LinkEED team
Abstract coming soon!
- Book Chapters